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Jarren Duran Sweepstakes: Overpay or Walk Away

July 25, 2025 by Last Word On Baseball

The trade deadline looms like a storm cloud over Fenway Park, and Jarren Duran’s name crackles through the rumor mill like lightning. The Boston Red Sox’s electric outfielder, the 2024 All-Star Game MVP, has become the prize in a high-stakes game. Chief baseball officer Craig Breslow plays hardball, demanding a king’s ransom for his star. The message to suitors? Pay up or shut up. With Duran’s speed, pop, and grit lighting up Fenway, Breslow knows he holds a rare gem.

Jarren Duran Sweepstakes: Overpay or Walk Away

San Diego’s Swing and Miss

The San Diego Padres, desperate to fix their left-field woes, came hard for Duran. MassLive’s Sean McAdam reported they offered ace Dylan Cease, top catching prospect Ethan Salas, and another prospect. Boston rejected it faster than a 100-mph fastball. Cease, a free agent after 2025, doesn’t outweigh three-plus years of Duran’s control. Salas, MLB.com’s No. 21 prospect at 19, is projected as a future star, but the Red Sox want impact now—controllable pitching or a cornerstone infielder, not a distant dream.

 

The Padres proposed a deal involving Dylan Cease, prospect Ethan Salas, and another prospect for Jarren Duran. The Red Sox quickly rejected it.

(via @Sean_McAdam) pic.twitter.com/sOKl4diX4U

— Gordo (@BOSSportsGordo) July 25, 2025

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The Market Heats Up

Other teams have entered the fray. Bleacher Report suggested a Cleveland Guardians package of reliever Cade Smith, outfielder Jaison Chourio, and first baseman Ralphy Velazquez. The Philadelphia Phillies could tempt Boston with pitcher Andrew Painter and catcher Eduardo Tait, bolstering the rotation. ESPN’s Paul Hembekides proposed a couple of wild Duran deals: Luis Arraez, Jeremiah Estrada, and Salas from San Diego: Harry Ford, Luis Castillo, and Matt Brash from Seattle. But Arraez’s .282 average and lack of power don’t move the needle enough, and Seattle trading for Josh Naylor shows their cards—Breslow’s holding firm, seeking a transformative haul.

 

Jarren Duran for…

Ethan Salas, Jeremiah Estrada & Luis Arráez
OR
Harry Ford, Luis Castillo & Matt Brash

…who says no? pic.twitter.com/4QceTXXaxE

— Paul Hembekides (Hembo) (@PaulHembo) June 6, 2025

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Boston’s Leverage and Logic

ESPN’s Jeff Passan called Duran the Padres’ “best match,” with San Diego’s left-field OPS below .600. A Duran-Jackson Merrill-Fernando Tatis Jr. outfield would dazzle through 2028. Yet, Passan pegged Duran’s trade odds at 25%, noting Boston might “stand pat.” The Red Sox, 15-6 since June 27, are playoff contenders. Their outfield logjam—Duran, Ceddanne Rafaela, Wilyer Abreu, and top prospect Roman Anthony—gives Breslow options. The New York Post’s Jon Heyman says a trade is “unlikely” before July 31, with the offseason as the likely stage.

Breslow’s Bet on the Future

Breslow’s stance is unwavering: overpay or walk away. Duran, 28, with a .254/.321/.428 slash line and an American League-leading 10 triples, is a fan favorite who embodies Boston’s fight. The Red Sox hold the cards in Duran’s future. As MassLive’s Chris Cotillo and The Boston Globe’s Alex Speier report, Breslow’s not desperate. He’s betting Duran’s value will soar, daring teams to meet his price or watch the outfielder electrify Fenway through the end of 2025. 

 

First things first… JARREN. pic.twitter.com/wj2KXCAhpt

— Red Sox (@RedSox) July 21, 2025

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Main Photo Credits: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images

The post Jarren Duran Sweepstakes: Overpay or Walk Away appeared first on Last Word On Baseball.

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